On February 23, Germans went to the polls, reshaping the country's political landscape. The victory of the CDU/CSU and the rise of the far right amid record financial losses of the Bundesbank present economic challenges for the new government led by Friedrich Merz.
A New Economic Reality for Germany
Germany, once the economic powerhouse of Europe, is now facing significant challenges. After two years of recession, companies warn of a loss of competitiveness and declining exports. The ECB's interest rate hikes have worsened the situation for central banks. The Bundesbank recorded its largest loss since 1979, amounting to 19.2 billion euros in 2024.
Friedrich Merz Faces Budgetary Puzzle
Future Chancellor Friedrich Merz, without government experience, faces serious budgetary challenges. The CDU advocates for tax cuts and a return to nuclear energy, while potential coalition allies propose higher taxation and an ecological shift. The question of financing projects is particularly acute in the absence of Bundesbank revenues and debt constraints.
A Systemic Crisis in the Making
The German economy struggles with a shortage of skilled workers, high energy costs, and excessive regulations. Amid these difficulties, German business associations organized a demonstration in Berlin demanding reforms to revitalize the economic sector. Their demands include reducing bureaucracy, lowering corporate taxes, investment incentives, and labor cost relief.
Germany stands on the brink of significant changes. The new government will have to make tough decisions to bring the economy back on track and prevent potential crises.