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AI May Displace Millions of Jobs in the UK, But Long-Term Losses Will Be Modest

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago


A recent report by the Tony Blair Institute predicts that artificial intelligence will significantly impact the UK labor market by redistributing jobs in key sectors and creating conditions for economic growth.

TBI's Employment Forecast for the UK

According to the report, artificial intelligence may displace between 1 and 3 million private sector jobs in the UK over the next two decades. Despite initial losses, the institute suggests that the impact on unemployment will be temporary, with new roles emerging due to AI advancements. In total, long-term employment losses are expected to be 'in the low hundreds of thousands' as new opportunities created by AI offset these losses.

Key Sectors Affected by AI

Administrative and secretarial roles, along with customer service and banking sectors, are most vulnerable to AI impact due to their repetitive and data-driven nature. Conversely, sectors such as construction, which require extensive physical labor, are less likely to be automated in the near future.

Challenges and Prospects of AI Integration

The integration of artificial intelligence requires revisiting the existing labor market infrastructure and developing early warning systems so employees can timely adapt to changes. It is also crucial to ensure compliance with EU regulations to safeguard ethical use and data privacy in AI-powered business operations.

Despite the potential risks associated with AI implementation, the report underscores the importance of preparing the workforce for change and creating opportunities driven by high technology. Investments in training and legislative reviews will be essential to ensure the UK's economic resilience.

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