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Analysis: Impact of New Investors on Bitcoin Price

Sep 3, 2024
  1. Bitcoin Buyers Face Risk
  2. Critical Role of New Investors
  3. Conclusion and Long-Term Prospects

Bitcoin is once again attracting attention from new investors, showing behavior similar to the period leading up to its all-time high in 2020, according to new data.

Bitcoin Buyers Face Risk

Investors who bought Bitcoin in the past six months are either hodling firm or selling at a loss after half a year of sideways price action. According to data from the platform CryptoQuant, unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) with an age of six months or less indicate the activity of new investors who entered the market in March when Bitcoin's price peaked at $73,800.

Critical Role of New Investors

New investors differ from traditional short-term holders, typically holding Bitcoin for up to 155 days. The cost basis of these speculators often forms key support during bull markets, but it is currently above the spot price, indicating unrealized losses.

Conclusion and Long-Term Prospects

Currently, Bitcoin's price has been stuck in a large range for more than six months without any clear triggers for a breakout. In the long term, the price is expected to strengthen, but in the short term, it is wise to temper expectations and closely monitor the market. Historically, the influx of capital from new investors has been a critical condition for Bitcoin's price increases.

Studies show that new investors play a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin's price. The current situation mirrors events from 2019, indicating potential future growth with a cautious short-term outlook.

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