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Analysis of Bitcoin Price Consolidation Below $62,500 - Continued

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago


The recent price movements in the Bitcoin market have unsettled traders, triggering concerns and uncertainty. Bitcoin's attempt to breach the $64,000 mark ended in failure, leading to the formation of a second bearish daily candle. This development has reinforced traders' bearish outlook, causing the price to drop below $60,000 and prompting a surge in short positions. The escalating bearish activity suggests that Bitcoin and the broader market could face prolonged downward pressure.

This raises questions about the future trajectory of the BTC price. Will it plummet to $58,000, or is there a potential bear trap in the making?

The recent weekend trading activity, which pushed Bitcoin's price above $63,500, attracted more participants to the market. However, instead of injecting more liquidity, many traders opted to capitalize on their profits. The number of active addresses, which had remained stagnant below 800K for an extended period, experienced a notable increase to over 900K at the beginning of the month.

This shift in focus back to Bitcoin by traders has negatively impacted the price, preventing it from maintaining levels above $62,500. Reports indicate that a significant portion of Bitcoin supply changed hands above $62,000, contributing to the recent price decline. As bullish momentum weakens, short positions accumulate around the crucial $62,500 resistance, potentially leading to the liquidation of nearly $1 billion in shorts if the price rebounds to this level. Consequently, Bitcoin is consolidating within this range, signaling a possible retreat to $58,000.

Following the recent breakout above consolidation levels, Bitcoin tracked an ascending trend line, turning the previous range into a robust support zone. However, the subsequent pullback failed to push prices above the trend line, indicating a probable test of vital support levels ranging from $61,160 to $60,213. Additionally, the RSI is descending towards lower levels, and the on-balance volume has dipped below its average range, further fueling bearish sentiments across the crypto markets. There is growing apprehension that Bitcoin could slide below $59,000 soon, with bearish pressure mounting and diminishing bullish strength limiting potential rebounds.

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