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Analysis of Bitcoin's MVRV: Signs of Continued Bull Trend

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 hours ago


The cryptocurrency market is showing optimism following recent developments in Bitcoin prices. MVRV analysis indicates a possible continuation of the bullish trend.

Overview of MVRV Indicator

A recent post from CryptoQuant highlights that Bitcoin's MVRV has bounced off its 365-day simple moving average. This event is historically associated with the continuation of bullish trends.

"Historically, as long as MVRV stays above its SMA365, the uptrend tends to continue. MVRV > SMA365 → Bull trend intact." – CITE_W_A (author: @burak_kesmeci)

An MVRV above 1 indicates overvaluation, while below 1 indicates undervaluation.

Role of Institutional Investments

A report from Gemini and Glassnode indicates that Spot Bitcoin ETFs are increasingly absorbing supply, potentially enhancing MVRV’s predictive accuracy. Binance leads open interest at $9.8 billion, significantly up from $4.2 billion in January. This highlights the growing liquidity and trust from institutional investors.

Risks and Warnings for Investors

Despite the positive signals from MVRV, it's essential to consider other indicators like open interest and ETF flows. The market remains vulnerable to volatility, and sharp corrections can challenge even the most robust trends.

The MVRV bounce presents an important signal for investors, but it is crucial to monitor the broader market situation and additional indicators to understand which trends will dominate the market in 2025.

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