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Analysis of FED's Recent Interest Rate Decision

Jun 12, 2024

The Federal Reserve (FED) has chosen to maintain the current interest rates without modifications. However, the FED's publicized statements alongside the interest rate announcement depicted a more aggressive stance.

Outlined below are the principal statements made by the FED in conjunction with the interest rate decision:

  • The FED opted to keep the overnight interest rate stable within the 5.25-5.50% range and envisions a solitary interest rate reduction in the year 2024.
  • Despite the acknowledgement of 'lack of progress' in the May 1 statement, there was noted 'modest progress' towards the 2% inflation target.
  • The FED is of the opinion that it is premature to bring down its policy target range until there is a stronger conviction that inflation is consistently progressing towards 2%.
  • The economy continues to expand at a strong pace, with robust employment growth and a low unemployment rate being maintained.
  • The risks associated with achieving policy objectives have shifted towards a more balanced position.
  • Inflation observed a decline over the past year but remains at a high level.
  • The FED plans to persist with the reduction of its holdings of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities.
  • FED projections indicate that among the officials, 4 out of 19 do not anticipate any rate reductions in 2024, 7 predict one reduction, and 8 forecast two decreases.

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