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Analysis of FED's Recent Interest Rate Decision

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago


The Federal Reserve (FED) has chosen to maintain the current interest rates without modifications. However, the FED's publicized statements alongside the interest rate announcement depicted a more aggressive stance.

Outlined below are the principal statements made by the FED in conjunction with the interest rate decision:

  • The FED opted to keep the overnight interest rate stable within the 5.25-5.50% range and envisions a solitary interest rate reduction in the year 2024.
  • Despite the acknowledgement of 'lack of progress' in the May 1 statement, there was noted 'modest progress' towards the 2% inflation target.
  • The FED is of the opinion that it is premature to bring down its policy target range until there is a stronger conviction that inflation is consistently progressing towards 2%.
  • The economy continues to expand at a strong pace, with robust employment growth and a low unemployment rate being maintained.
  • The risks associated with achieving policy objectives have shifted towards a more balanced position.
  • Inflation observed a decline over the past year but remains at a high level.
  • The FED plans to persist with the reduction of its holdings of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities.
  • FED projections indicate that among the officials, 4 out of 19 do not anticipate any rate reductions in 2024, 7 predict one reduction, and 8 forecast two decreases.

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