Analysis of Pump.fun's Token Success Rate and Revenue Growth
Overview
Pump.fun, a Solana-based meme coin creation tool, faces a challenge with only 1.41% of its tokens succeeding in reaching the Raydium DeFi protocol. Despite this low success rate, Pump.fun has witnessed an uptick in revenue and popularity, managing to outshine Ethereum in 24-hour revenue on several occasions. This success comes amidst a downturn in the meme coin market, with notable coins like DOGE and SHIB experiencing significant weekly losses. Moreover, Elon Musk's X recently suspended a prominent meme coin creator account.
Token Launch Success Rate
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Success Rate: Data from Dune Analytics reveals that only 1.41% of Pump.fun tokens manage to make it to the Raydium protocol, with fluctuations seen between 1.21% and 1.41% since May. The all-time high success rate peaked at 2.56% on Feb. 16.
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Graduation Rate: Adam Cochran from Cinneamhain Ventures disclosed that the 'graduation rate' of Pump.fun coins, achieving a $69k market cap and exchange listing, remains stagnant at around 1.4%. Notably, no new coins have attained a $20 million Fully Diluted Valuation, indicative of a potential shift in the meme coin cycle.
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Revenue Model: Successful tokens incur a 1% transaction fee till a specific market cap is reached, contributing to substantial fee revenue. Noteworthy figures like Caitlyn Jenner, Iggy Azalea, and Jason Derulo have utilized Pump.fun for meme coin creation and promotion since May.
Revenue Performance
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Revenue Comparison: Pump.fun surpassed Ethereum in 24-hour revenue on multiple occasions, with earnings reaching $864,000 compared to Ethereum's $550,000 on July 29. The tool's revenue dominance was further evident on June 30 when it generated almost $2 million, slightly edging past Ethereum's $1.91 million.
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Cumulative Revenues: Pump.fun's record-breaking performance stems from meme coin trading fervor on the Solana blockchain, amassing fee revenues nearing $75 million. Presently, Pump.fun ranks third in 24-hour revenue, behind Solana and Tron.
Notable Trading Success
- Exceptional Returns: A trader recently garnered a remarkable 94-fold return by purchasing the Solana-based meme coin 'CTO,' turning a significant profit within hours.
Market Trends
- Downturn in Meme Coin Market: Major meme coins, including DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, WIF, BONK, and FLOKI, faced notable price declines over the past week.
Regulatory Action
- Musk's Account Suspension: Elon Musk's X suspended the 'makenowmeme' account, renowned for enabling users to create meme coins via a single post due to alleged rule violations.
Musk's Social Media Conflict
- Musk vs. Maduro: Elon Musk engaged in a war of words with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro on social media, with both parties challenging each other to a potential showdown.
The dynamic landscape of meme coins, revenue performance, and regulatory actions against meme coin creators provide intriguing insights into the crypto market's evolving trends and challenges.