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Analysis of Recent BTC and ETH Options Expiry Events

May 31, 2024

Analysis of Recent BTC and ETH Options Expiry Events

The recent expiration of significant Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options on May 31 provided valuable insights into market sentiment and potential trends without influencing the outcome using first-person pronouns. The options expiration date revealed critical data points and disparities between BTC and ETH metrics.

BTC Options Expiry

A substantial total of 69,000 BTC options expired with a Put Call Ratio of 0.37. The options' notional value stood at $4.7 billion, indicating active market participation and interest in BTC options. Despite a higher preference for call options, suggesting bullish sentiment, the Maxpain point was identified at $66,000, emphasizing a potential price level of interest.

ETH Options Expiry

On the other hand, 920,000 ETH options expired with a Put Call Ratio of 0.46, presenting a more balanced sentiment between calls and puts. The notional value of ETH options totaled $3.5 billion, with a Maxpain point set at $3,300. Despite this, the overall sentiment for ETH options remained positive even with a more neutral Put Call Ratio.

Post-Spot ETH Reaction

The approval of the spot Ether ETF by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in May sparked notable market activity, driving a 20% surge in Ether prices. While the market anticipated the ETF approval, only the 19b-4 filing was sanctioned, postponing actual trading listings. Subsequently, the crypto market entered a sideways movement post-approval, with Ether below $4,000 and Bitcoin unable to breach the $70,000 barrier.

Market Analysis

Despite recent bullish momentum, a correction phase is currently underway in the market. Bitcoin has experienced a 1.8% decline, trading at $68,489, while Ethereum dipped to $3,751. The broader market shows most altcoins in the red, continuing a downward trend witnessed in recent days. Notably, meme coins have faced significant losses alongside the overall market correction.

Conclusion

Predicting the direct impact of options expiry on Bitcoin's price remains challenging. Although spot markets generally show minimal response to such events, the recent expiry date has brought heightened attention. With the crypto market cap stabilizing around $2.68 trillion and limited movement in the last 12 days, monitoring the market for potential shifts and trends remains crucial.

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