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Analysis of U.S. Bureau of Economic Data for April 2024

May 31, 2024

The author, Tim Fries, and The Tokenist website do not provide financial advice. It is advisable to review the website policy before making any financial decisions. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has released the Personal Income and Outlays report for April 2024, offering insights into the economic well-being of the nation.

The report highlighted incremental growth in personal income, disposable personal income (DPI), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The PCE Price Index remained stagnant at 2.7% annually in April, with a monthly uptick of 0.3%.

Stable PCE Price Index at 2.7% Annually in April

In April, personal income saw an increase of $65.3 billion (0.3% on a monthly basis), DPI rose by $40.2 billion (0.2%), and PCE grew by $39.1 billion (0.2%). The PCE price index, a key inflation indicator monitored by the Federal Reserve, edged up by 0.3%, with a 0.2% rise when excluding food and energy. Real DPI and real PCE both experienced a marginal decline of 0.1%. Personal savings reached $744.5 billion, with a saving rate of 3.6%.

Among expenditure categories, housing and utilities, healthcare, and financial services and insurance registered notable increases in service spending. Conversely, the most significant decreases in goods expenditure were observed in recreational goods, vehicles, and other non-durable goods. Food prices decreased by 0.2%, while energy prices saw a 1.2% rise. The PCE price index demonstrated a 2.7% increase compared to the previous year, and the index excluding food and energy rose by 2.8%.

Positive Market Trends Post April PCE Report

Market sentiments were upbeat, with major indices showing gains following the release of the April PCE inflation data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) surged by 130.2 points (+0.34%) to reach 38,241.68, the S&P 500 climbed by 13.77 points (+0.26%) to 5,249.25, and the NASDAQ recorded an increase of 23.54 points (+0.14%) to 16,760.62. The Russell 2000 outperformed other indices, rising by 20.41 points (+1%) to 2,056.6.

Commodity prices, including gold, silver, and oil, experienced gains, signaling a positive market outlook and heightened demand. The stability of Treasury yields, with minor declines in the 10-year and 30-year yields, indicated a steady environment for long-term investments. The USD displayed mixed performance against major currencies, with notable boosts in the Euro and Australian Dollar, and dips in the Canadian Dollar and Swedish Krona.

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