Analyst: Asset Tokenization to Reach $1.3 Trillion by 2030, not $30 Trillion

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 years ago

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  1. Asset Tokenization: Process and Forecasts
  2. Impact on Web3 Ecosystem and Ethereum
  3. Other Opinions and Forecasts on Asset Tokenization


    4. A Real Vision analyst expressed skepticism about the optimistic forecasts for the future of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), presenting more conservative estimates.

    Asset Tokenization: Process and Forecasts

    Asset tokenization is the process of issuing security tokens (a type of blockchain token) representing real digital tradable assets. These tokens can represent anything from real estate and bonds to art and stocks. In June, Standard Chartered Bank and Synpulse forecasted that tokenized RWAs could reach $30.1 trillion by 2034. However, Real Vision's chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts suggested that such a prediction is overly optimistic. He estimates that $1.3 trillion in tokenized traditional assets by 2030 is more likely if the current 2-year CAGR of 121% continues.

    Impact on Web3 Ecosystem and Ethereum

    Coutts believes that if $1.3 trillion were in real-world assets (RWA) on-chain, it would create a significant flywheel effect on other parts of the crypto ecosystem such as NFTs, social platforms, and gaming. However, he stated that calculating the “value accrual” on Ethereum — the preferred platform for early TradFi asset issuers — would be difficult due to how much market share layer-2 networks (L2s) will capture compared to the base Ethereum network (L1).

    Other Opinions and Forecasts on Asset Tokenization

    In June, McKinsey & Company analysts noted that tokenized financial assets have had a cold start, but they are on track to reach a market size of about $2 trillion by 2030. They added that tokenization needs a use case where it offers a benefit over traditional finance systems. Meanwhile, in April, RippleX senior vice president Markus Infanger told Cointelegraph that research estimates pin the future value of tokenized markets at $16 trillion, approximately eight times bigger than the total market capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency sector.

    Thus, despite various opinions and forecasts, the process of asset tokenization continues to attract attention and generate extensive discussions in the crypto community.

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