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AUD/NZD Rally: Impact of RBA Rate Cut on Forex

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


The Reserve Bank of Australia’s recent interest rate cut has propelled the AUD/NZD pair to new heights, reaching 1.1130. This development emphasizes the significance of central banks' actions in the global economy.

Decoding the RBA’s Rate Cut: A Forex Market Catalyst

The Reserve Bank of Australia reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points, from 4.35% to 4.1%. Announced during their February meeting, this marked the RBA's first rate cut since November 2020, significantly impacting the Australian Dollar. While anticipated, the lack of an overtly dovish tone surprised some, leading to a positive reaction for AUD.

Why the Australian Dollar is Soaring?

Despite the rate cut, generally seen as bearish for currencies, the Australian Dollar displayed remarkable strength. This was due to a lack of new dovish signals from the RBA, market positioning, and the focus on Governor Michele Bullock's press conference, which offered no additional easing cues.

New Zealand Dollar Under Pressure: Expected RBNZ Actions

As the Australian Dollar gained strength, the New Zealand Dollar faced pressure from expectations of further aggressive rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The prospect of another 'supersized' RBNZ rate cut weighed heavily on the NZD.

The AUD/NZD's rally after the RBA rate cut illustrates the dynamic nature of the Forex market. Decisions by central banks significantly influence asset valuations. Traders must monitor RBA, RBNZ actions, and global data to anticipate AUD/NZD's movement.

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