Since the beginning of 2025, the Avalanche (AVAX) token has shown recovery signs after a significant drop in the first half of the year. This article examines current factors and potential price development scenarios for AVAX.
Current Market Situation for AVAX
From January to March, AVAX price fell from over $50 to $17, triggered by a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. As of mid-April, AVAX is trading around $20.28, still in recovery mode.
Fundamental Factors Influencing AVAX
Key updates, such as Nasdaq's ETF filing for Avalanche, may attract new investments into the AVAX ecosystem. Meanwhile, there's increasing activity in the DeFi sector, contributing to a rise in total locked value.
AVAX Price Predictions by Scenarios
Analysts suggest three possible scenarios for AVAX price by the end of Q2 2025: 1. Pessimistic: The price could drop to $15–$17 if the market remains under pressure. 2. Realistic: In a more balanced outcome, prices may rise to $23–$26. 3. Optimistic: The best-case scenario sees prices at $30–$35 if positive results are achieved.
The price of AVAX will depend on various factors, including overall market conditions, DeFi activity, and response to potential ETFs. Investors should monitor these indicators as Q2 approaches.
