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Bitcoin: Analysis and Prospects Amidst Short Position Surge

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

8 months ago


After reaching new highs above $76,000, Bitcoin has noticeably slowed its upward momentum, leading to increased bearish expectations, especially in the derivatives segment.

Changes in Derivatives Market Dynamics

In the last three days, a shift has been observed in the ratio of long and short positions in Bitcoin derivatives. Previously dominant long positions have been replaced by short ones, indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.

Probability of a Short Squeeze Scenario

According to CryptoQuant's analysis, the high open interest combined with the shift to negative funding rates may indicate the risk of a short squeeze. An increase in short positions on major exchanges suggests that such an event may have contributed to the recent price record.

The analysis suggests that the short squeeze occurred after Trump was announced as the winner in the presidential race, forcing short sellers to buy to cover their positions.

Prospects for Bitcoin Price Increase

Although there is directional uncertainty, exchange flow data shows continued support for a price increase. The activity of ETFs and institutional investors, which often increases at the start of the week, may lead to renewed volatility and potentially higher prices.

The Bitcoin market remains uncertain, with future moves likely reliant on macroeconomic factors and institutional investor activity, requiring caution and attention from all participants.

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