Bitcoin and Ethereum have commenced the third quarter of 2025, which is traditionally considered a weak period for the cryptocurrency market. Analytical data indicates a decrease in trading activity during this quarter.
Strong Bitcoin Recovery in Q2
CryptoRank data shows that Bitcoin gained 29.9% in Q2 2025, climbing from $82,503 to $107,153. This recovery was driven by institutional interest and improved market sentiment. Such outcomes align with historical trends: in Q2 2024, Bitcoin increased by 7.3%, and in Q2 2021, by 42.2%.
New Regulatory Changes in U.S. Housing Policy
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has issued a decision directing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to include cryptocurrency assets in mortgage risk assessments. FHFA Director William Pulte indicated that this step is aimed at modernizing housing finance. This initiative was enabled by President Trump's executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Trends and Forecasts for Q3
Q3 2025 is often characterized by low trading activity for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Historically, the average return for Bitcoin in Q3 is just 5.55%, with a median of -0.28%, while Ethereum follows a similar pattern. However, this period can serve as a foundation for new developments that may bolster positions in Q4.
As Bitcoin and Ethereum enter Q3, regulatory updates and recovering market sentiments may set the tone for the future of the cryptocurrency market.
