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Bitcoin and Financial Uncertainty: Forecasts by Arthur Hayes

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago

Bitcoin's 22% decline since the beginning of the year reignites the debate about its role as a hedge against financial instability.

Bitcoin Decline and Market Reaction

The drop in Bitcoin's price is accompanied by the rise in gold prices to $3,000 an ounce, raising questions about its reliability as a safe-haven asset. Bitcoin's volatility proved higher than that of tech stocks, as it dropped along with the Nasdaq.

Arthur Hayes' Predictions

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes sees current Bitcoin's drop as a temporary liquidity crunch and expects a sharp recovery when market conditions change. He predicts that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of the year.

We are experiencing a period of low liquidity fiat money production.Arthur Hayes

Impact on Future Course

Hayes expects Bitcoin to bottom before stocks, citing historical liquidity cycles. He believes the Fed will eventually step in to stabilize markets and trigger Bitcoin’s next big rally.

When the floodgates open, it’s time to act.Arthur Hayes

While the market remains volatile, many analysts keep an eye on Federal Reserve actions and the return of liquidity, which could be a catalyst for Bitcoin's next rally.

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