Bitcoin and RC-Deviation: When a Peak Is on the Horizon

user avatar

by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 years ago

Bitcoin's recent market activities hint at a potential peak in its current cycle. The RC-Deviation metric, a key indicator of market peaks, has reached the 3X multiplier level.

Understanding the RC-Deviation

The RC-Deviation is a tool used to assess Bitcoin's market cycle. It compares Bitcoin’s current price to its historical trend and realized cap—the total value of Bitcoin based on the last transaction price of each coin rather than the current market price. RC-Deviation is expressed in multipliers (such as 3X, 5X), indicating how much higher or lower Bitcoin's price is compared to its historical norm.

Historical Peaks and Market Cycles

Bitcoin’s RC-Deviation metric has consistently offered crucial insights into market peaks. For example, during the 2018 bull run, the metric rose to an 8X multiplier, coinciding with Bitcoin’s all-time high. Similar trends were observed when the 5X mark was reached in 2021.

Current Situation Analysis

At the current 3X level, Bitcoin's price suggests a maturing market. However, it might face resistance as profit-taking increases. Shifts in trading volume and on-chain activity will be crucial to determining whether this cycle continues upwards or transitions into a correction.

While the 3X level doesn’t predict a crash, it signals a period where market momentum could either extend or falter, depending on external factors and sentiment.

Tier I

Sector: #18291

Sealed Hiding Place Room

Resource Cache

Resource Cache

Tier I

Requires 25% Tier Progress to Claim
Meme Cache

Meme Cache

Tier I

Requires 50% Tier Progress to Claim
Equipment Cache

Equipment Cache

Tier I

Requires 75% Tier Progress to Claim

After collecting, hiding places will be stored in your inventory and can be opened with Keys.

Other news

French Investors Increase Stablecoin Self-Custody

In France, stablecoin balances held in personal wallets surged by 192% from July 2025 to June 2026, indicating a growing trend towards self-custody among French crypto users influenced by fiscal pressures and political uncertainty.

user avatarLeo van der Veen

Stablecoin Holdings Surge in Western Europe

Stablecoin holdings in personal wallets across Western Europe surged by 131% between July 2025 and June 2026, significantly outpacing the global growth rate.

user avatarLi Weicheng

AI Agent Successfully Bypasses CAPTCHA Tests, Exposing Weaknesses

AI agent named Gary successfully bypassed CAPTCHA tests on over 50 Discord servers, revealing vulnerabilities in traditional verification methods.

user avatarAisha Farooq

Solo's Human Verification SDK Now Powers JellyJelly

Solo's human verification SDK is now integrated into JellyJelly, ensuring each account belongs to a real person without the need for government IDs.

user avatarTenzin Dorje

Payward Reports Recovery Signs Amid Annual Revenue Decline

Payward reports signs of recovery in Q3 despite annual revenue decline, with a 12% increase in platform margin attributed to improved trading activity and expanded client services.

user avatarElias Mukuru

Payward's Financial Services Expansion Mitigates Trading Revenue Losses

Payward has expanded its financial services operations to mitigate losses from declining trading revenue, now accounting for 52% of its total platform margin.

user avatarMohamed Farouk

Important disclaimer: The information presented on the Dapp.Expert portal is intended solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an investment recommendation or a guide to action in the field of cryptocurrencies. The Dapp.Expert team is not responsible for any potential losses or missed profits associated with the use of materials published on the site. Before making investment decisions in cryptocurrencies, we recommend consulting a qualified financial advisor.