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Bitcoin and US Elections: Speculation vs. Reality

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9 hours ago


As the US presidential election approaches, Bitcoin has surged to $73,000, sparking discussions about its future. Speculations revolve around the election's impact.

Trump's Role in Bitcoin Fluctuations

Some crypto enthusiasts believe a Trump victory could benefit Bitcoin through tax cuts and protectionist policies. However, correlation analysis shows a weak link between Bitcoin prices and Trump's election odds. Accusations of questionable trading practices on prediction markets further question these speculative impacts.

Bitcoin's Long-Term Prospects

Bernstein analysts project that Bitcoin's long-term prospects are independent of election outcomes. Despite possible short-term fluctuations, Bitcoin's price could exceed $200,000 by 2025, driven by ETF popularity and institutional capital influx.

Policy Divergences and Their Impact

Trump’s DeFi project shows his interest in crypto, whereas Harris might take a cautious approach amidst regulatory tensions. Experts believe election outcomes have minimal impact compared to broader factors affecting Bitcoin's value.

Regardless of the election results, Bitcoin's resilience will be bolstered by its decentralized nature and growing institutional investor interest. These factors are likely to influence Bitcoin's trajectory more than the political race outcomes.

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