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Bitcoin Breaks $120,000: Risks and Forecasts

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 hours ago


Bitcoin has reached new heights, surpassing the $120,000 mark within a 24-hour period. However, rising open positions and elevated leverage ratios present significant risks for market participants.

Open Positions Market

According to CryptoQuant, Binance’s futures market has hit an all-time high with open positions valued at $14.1 billion. This indicates an influx of new funds from both retail and institutional investors opting for leveraged trading options. Historically, such sharp escalations have preceded further price increases; however, the risks of a correction are increasing.

TBSR Indicator

The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio (TBSR) indicator from CryptoQuant rose to 1.14, showing a prevalence of buyers not seen for some time. This strong buying interest can herald short-term profits but also raises the risk of significant sell-offs, particularly if market optimism begins to wane. The leverage ratio on Binance's platform currently sits at 0.204, indicating potential overheating.

Short-Term Prospects

Despite positive indicators from MACD and Awesome Oscillator charts, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaching 78 suggests overbought conditions. Key support levels to watch are $120,000, $116,000, and $110,000. Failure to maintain these levels could lead to deeper corrections. Valuable insights include the open positions reaching $14.1 billion and the RSI signaling caution moving forward.

The increase in Bitcoin's value brings excitement but also caution. The pressures from open positions and leverage are significant risks in the volatile market. Staying informed and prepared for shifts is crucial.

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