Recent analysis suggests bitcoin could reach $126,000 by June 2025. Currently, BTC remains at the lower end of its historical range, but signs indicate a bullish return.
Bitcoin's Bullish Cycle
In the crypto universe, history often repeats itself. Nearly 100% of bitcoin’s annual performance is concentrated in April and October. This pattern may indicate significant upcoming movements.
Periods during which BTC remains below its average bullish trend typically last four months. This threshold was recently surpassed as the price exceeded $85,000. According to the trend, bitcoin could regain upward momentum as early as April, with a potential target of $126,000 by June 1, 2025.
Technical Factors
The analysis is based on a bullish trendline represented by red dashed lines, showing that BTC has been following a consistent growth channel for several cycles. This type of technical model has historically worked well to predict major market movements.
The historical peak of bitcoin recorded in November 2021 at $69,000 now seems to be a key support level with a 95% chance of holding. If the proposed scenario materializes, BTC could exceed its previous record of $109,000 even before summer 2025.
Risks for Bitcoin
Despite the convincing bullish scenario, there are elements that could hinder or invalidate it. Monetary policy of central banks, potential decline in institutional interest, or geopolitical tensions could adversely affect bitcoin. Furthermore, some analysts believe that the current correction could prolong, invalidating the idea of an immediate rebound.
With multiple signals indicating bitcoin's rise to $90,000 in the coming days, achieving a new ATH in June now seems entirely feasible. The question remains whether investors will seize this opportunity or if headwinds will slow this upward trajectory. One thing is certain: bitcoin has not said its last word.
