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Bitcoin in 2025: How Cycles Affect Price and Development

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a day ago


The analysis of Bitcoin market cycles reveals the systematization of its behavior over time. Based on historical data and the current state, this analysis helps predict future market movements.

Historical Cycle Overview

Bitcoin's market follows a structured five-phase cycle. Phase 1 represents bear market lows after a prolonged downturn. Phase 2 marks a temporary peak before further progress. Phase 3 shows Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs that start a parabolic rise. Phase 4 identifies the first major cycle top. Phase 5 represents the final peak before a market correction. Historical data from 2012, 2017, and 2020 confirms this phase sequence, providing investors with decision-making guidance during uncertainties.

Current Market Position

Analysts predict that early 2025 may witness significant upward trends. The market transition from Phase 3 to Phase 4 is expected with increased trading volumes and MVRV indicators matching historical cycle data.

Future Projections and Price Data

Chart analysis forecasts January through March 2025 may reflect trends similar to past cycles. An initial surge leading to the first cycle top is expected before an ultimate rise. Current data reveals Bitcoin trading at $85,103.88, with high trading volumes indicating alignment with historical trends.

Bitcoin cycles continue to shape its market dynamics, providing investors with reliable guidelines for future decision-making.

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