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Bitcoin May Reach a Peak in September-October 2025 If Halving Cycles Hold

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

7 hours ago


Bitcoin's halving events are key moments that significantly reduce the amount of new BTC entering circulation. Historically, this leads to massive bullish trends in the market.

Halving Cycles and Market Peaks

Bitcoin halving occurs roughly every four years, leading to increased cryptocurrency prices. The most recent halving occurred in April 2024, reducing the reward to 3.125 BTC per block. Historical data shows Bitcoin reaches its peak 480-550 days after a halving, a pattern observed in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Applying this trend suggests the next significant peak could fall between September and October 2025.

Only Three Months to Go

As of late June 2025, time is running out. Only July and August remain before the anticipated peak price window begins. This provides about three months before Bitcoin could reach its historical peak—if history repeats itself.

What to Expect

If the trend holds, Bitcoin may encounter heightened market activity, increased investor FOMO, and rapid price fluctuations heading into the anticipated peak window. However, cycles do not guarantee future results, and timing can vary based on market developments and institutional influence. Nevertheless, historical patterns provide a useful framework for monitoring market trends.

With the September-October 2025 window approaching, monitoring market trends becomes important for cryptocurrency investors.

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