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Bitcoin network activity reaches historic low

Sep 14, 2024
  1. Historic drop in active addresses on the Bitcoin network
  2. Potential consequences for the Bitcoin market
  3. Interpretations and expectations

The Bitcoin network, often seen as a key indicator of the vitality of the crypto market, is currently experiencing a period of minimal activity. The number of active addresses on the network has dropped to a historic low, with fewer than one million users.

Historic drop in active addresses on the Bitcoin network

On-chain data reveals that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network has fallen below the one million mark, a threshold that had not been reached since July 2021. This period coincided with China’s strict mining ban, a situation that caused a sharp collapse in Bitcoin prices and a marked decline in activity on the blockchain. At the time, the ban forced many miners to leave China, which was then one of the world’s largest hubs for this activity. Today, the active address indicator, which reflects the number of users interacting daily with the network, is experiencing a similar decline. Such a situation makes Bitcoin less attractive to speculators.

Potential consequences for the Bitcoin market

Historically, every major bullish market movement has been preceded by a significant increase in the number of active users. Indeed, a sustainable market recovery will require an uptick in network activity. In other words, without a renewed interest from users, Bitcoin might struggle to initiate a new bullish cycle, despite positive signals from other indicators. This prolonged decline in active addresses could also be interpreted as a sign of stagnation in the crypto market as a whole. If new users do not enter the market en masse, the broader adoption of Bitcoin and cryptos could be delayed. However, some analysts believe that this slowdown phase could be the calm before a new bullish storm, a period where institutional investors, less sensitive to short-term fluctuations, continue to accumulate positions.

Interpretations and expectations

The drop in active addresses on the Bitcoin network should not be interpreted as a sign of a definitive decline for crypto. While current activity is low, market cycles show that periods of calm often precede significant bullish moves. In any case, close monitoring of the evolution of active addresses remains crucial to anticipate the next market moves.

The period of minimal activity in the Bitcoin network could have significant consequences for the future of the cryptocurrency market. However, history shows that such periods are often followed by substantial upturns, making it important to monitor the situation to understand future trends.

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