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Bitcoin on the Brink of Change: Testing the 21-Week Moving Average

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a month ago


Bitcoin remains near $77,000 as it tests the critical 21-week moving average, which has historically marked significant inflection points in the market.

Historical Trends Define the Present

Bitcoin's historical behavior aligns closely with its 21-week and 200-week moving averages. The 200-week line has served as long-term support since 2013. Despite several corrections, Bitcoin has never stayed below it for long. Each major recovery began with a decisive move back above the 21-week average.

Current Market Behavior Reflects Cycle Shifts

Bitcoin's 2023 and 2024 rally saw the asset reach $109,000 before pulling back to current levels. Consequently, the price now tests a crucial technical area. Holding the 21-week average could lead to sideways movement or accumulation, reflecting broader macro uncertainty following recent parabolic growth.

200-Week Support Remains Key

Market watchers now look for signs of a short-term bounce. Volume and sentiment indicators remain under close observation. A break below both moving averages would be historically rare and could shift the long-term bullish narrative.

Ultimately, key levels such as the 21-week and 200-week moving averages continue to serve as important indicators for Bitcoin, shaping its future on the market.

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