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Bitcoin: Potential and Adoption Rate According to River

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago


River's platform has released a report analyzing the current state and potential of Bitcoin. The study compares Bitcoin's adoption rate to the emergence of the internet and presents several conclusions about its future.

Bitcoin and the Global Economy

Despite current fluctuations in the crypto market, Bitcoin continues to gain ground faster than other assets. Currently, fewer than 1% of publicly traded companies have adopted Bitcoin, and only 18 countries hold it as an asset, either through mining or confiscations or direct purchases. Given the growing geopolitical uncertainty, River suggests that one G20 country may announce holding Bitcoins in the next four years, though this possibility is currently considered low. In the US, potential developments include reducing capital gains tax on small transactions. However, only 3% of the global population currently accepts Bitcoin.

Bitcoin's Position Among Traditional Assets

According to River, Bitcoin has reached only 3% of its potential. Analysts forecast it replacing 25% of prestigious assets like gold and real estate. Investment funds notably underestimate Bitcoin, with only 0.0006% of $128 trillion in investments allocated to it. Less than 4% of the world's population holds BTC, and its potential remains vast.

Technical and Decentralization Aspects of Bitcoin

The report includes data on how, in May 2024, Bitcoin became harder to mine than gold due to 'halving.' Over the past year, active developers have made over 2,500 changes to the protocol. While the number of nodes and miners has increased, the concentration of pools poses a significant risk, as further detailed in River's report.

River emphasizes Bitcoin's significant growth potential as a global asset and international reserve currency. Despite current challenges and risks, the network's development continues, as does the crucial process of decentralizing its elements.

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