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Bitcoin: Price Forecast and Influencing Factors in 2025

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

5 hours ago


As of June 21, 2025, Bitcoin trades around $102,627.07, showing a significant drop from its recent highs above $106,000. Increasing inquiries regarding Bitcoin's future course interest investors.

Factors That Could Improve Bitcoin's Price

Several key factors could serve as catalysts for Bitcoin's price growth:

* **Increased Institutional Investment:** Continued accumulation of Bitcoin by large players can significantly boost demand. * **Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions:** A more accommodative Federal Reserve policy and positive inflation data may improve market sentiment. * **Geopolitical Stability:** Reduced geopolitical risks may enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a safe haven asset. * **Technical Breakout:** Overcoming the resistance level at $106K could trigger a price rally.

Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price

The main factors influencing the price include:

* **Institutional Accumulation and ETF Demand:** A recent increase of +231 wallets holding more than 10 BTC in the last 10 days. U.S. BTC ETFs now manage $131B in assets, absorbing about 3.1% of Bitcoin's supply. In June, $320M in inflows occurred despite macroeconomic headwinds. * **Macro and Regulatory Factors:** Federal Reserve policy and inflation data are crucial for market direction. Bitcoin traded in a range of $100K–$110K after the Fed paused rate hikes. * **Geopolitical Risks:** Iran's uranium talks and U.S. debt downgrades drive Bitcoin's narrative as 'digital gold'.

Technical Analysis and Forecast

Technical analysis indicates the following key levels:

* **Key Levels:** Immediate resistance at $106K (June 21 high). A breakout above this level may target an all-time high of $111.9K, while failure could denote a drop to $100K (50-day SMA). * **On-Chain Signals:** 88% of Bitcoin's supply is profitable, but RSI (43.76) and MACD (-615) suggest consolidation.

Bitcoin's future hinges on liquidity shifts in financial markets, ETF dynamics, and whale accumulation, which may set a positive tone for its long-term outlook.

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