Despite recent fluctuations, Bitcoin’s price action remains within a certain range, with a strong bearish sentiment prevailing.
Bitcoin's Short-term Price Changes
On February 18th, Bitcoin fell to a local low of $93.4k, just hours after an analysis predicted a drop to $94k, followed by a likely rebound.
Current Market Conditions
Currently, the price has bounced back above the $96k mark. Over the past two weeks, the price action has been range-bound, indicating that the next short-term target is the $99k level. Despite factors like Trump tariffs and sell-offs among spot ETFs, Bitcoin has managed to stay above the $90k mark. However, whether this is a warning sign or a buying opportunity remains uncertain.
Market Sentiment and Projections
Crypto analyst Axel Adler noted that the advanced Bitcoin sentiment index reflects a strong bearish sentiment. This index considers factors like Open Interest, Net Taker Volume, Volume Delta, and Volume weighted average price. Adler’s Bitcoin Realized Pricing Bands suggest that the market isn’t overextended on higher timeframes. This metric reflects the average price at which investors have purchased Bitcoin, providing a potentially more accurate market view than current market prices alone. If history repeats itself, long-term holders could use a price move beyond the 3.2*RP to take profits. However, there’s no guarantee that history will repeat itself. Hence, holders who don’t need to liquidate their Bitcoin for upkeep might consider adding to their holdings or maintaining a ‘HODL’ mentality. Panic selling is likely not in their best interest.
Amid ongoing uncertainty, long-term holders may choose different strategies considering the current market conditions and sentiment.
