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Bitcoin's Rise: How the U.S. Dollar's Weakness Influences Cryptocurrency

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 hours ago


The decline in the U.S. dollar index might signal a potential market rally for Bitcoin. Investor sentiment is shifting towards Bitcoin, indicating a potential price increase.

Bitcoin’s Gradual Price Increase

In the past day, Bitcoin has experienced a steady price increase, pushing back into the $90,000 region. Currently, it stands at approximately $92,500 after a 6.12% gain. This recent accumulation is due to the weakening of the Dollar Index and the gradual increase in buying momentum from investors. Should this sentiment continue to grow, Bitcoin could experience a significant push upwards, potentially crossing the $100,000 mark.

The Dollar Index and Bitcoin

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of six commodities, is declining. Historically, when the dollar index weakens, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and altcoins tend to benefit. In the past two market cycles, 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin made significant gains following a decline in the dollar index. Altcoins also followed a similar trend, making substantial gains. If this pattern continues, the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, could be in a position for an upward swing. The amount of Bitcoin sold in the spot market over the past 24 hours is decreasing. Bitcoin sales, which totaled $163.54 million on March 5th, have dropped to $87.12 million. This trend suggests that investors might begin accumulating Bitcoin again, leading to increased exchange net inflows.

Institutional Investors and Bitcoin

After consistent market outflows from the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds market, indicating that institutional investors were selling Bitcoin, the sentiment appears to be changing. BlackRock, a prominent institutional investor with over $50 billion in Bitcoin ETF via IBIT, has ceased selling. When selling activity slows or stops, it often indicates that investors are reevaluating their positions and may soon resume buying, particularly in a bullish environment. Bitcoin ETFs have recorded an inflow of $22 million in the past 24 hours, suggesting renewed interest among institutional investors.

The weakening of the U.S. Dollar Index is likely to increase interest in Bitcoin among both private and institutional investors, potentially bolstering the cryptocurrency's market presence in the near future.

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