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Bitcoin’s Implied Volatility Drops to Two-Year Minimum

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

6 hours ago


Recent events in the cryptocurrency market have garnered attention due to the decrease in Bitcoin's implied volatility and the launch of new services on the Solana platform. The Trump family's unexpected activity in this area has also raised eyebrows.

Bitcoin's Implied Volatility

As of July 3, Deribit’s Bitcoin Volatility Index (DVOL) indicates that BTC’s 30-day implied volatility has dropped to 37.42, the lowest level since 2022. Bitcoin has been trading in a narrow range of $93K to $111K over the past two months, starkly contrasting its historically volatile behavior.

The low DVOL suggests that market participants expect subdued price movements in the near term. Institutional investors are capitalizing by selling call options with strike prices between $100K and $120K to earn premium income (call overwriting).

With 80% of open interest clustered in this range, a volatility 'compression zone' has formed, potentially capping upside momentum in the short term.

Launch of Jupiter Studio on Solana

Jupiter, the leading DEX aggregator on Solana, has launched Jupiter Studio — a plug-and-play token launchpad that allows users to mint tokens using USDC, SOL, or JUP, and customize vesting, caps, anti-sniping protections, and liquidity provider unlocks.

Jupiter is expanding from aggregation to full-stack ecosystem infrastructure, having played a key role in Solana's DeFi ecosystem (November 2024 volume: $93B; TVL: $2.5B). The launch of Studio complements its perpetuals and meme coin apps, strengthening its control over the token lifecycle.

This may boost new token experimentation and deepen DAO and community engagement within Solana.

Trump Family Profits from Crypto Ventures

According to The Block, the Trump family has earned approximately $620 million from various crypto projects, including $390 million from World Liberty token sales, $150 million from Trump meme coins, and a 20% stake in mining firm American Bitcoin, which plans to go public through a merger with Gryphon.

Trump's crypto ventures, ranging from meme coins to stablecoins and mining, signal a growing crossover between politics and digital assets. While they help mainstream adoption, the speed and scale of profits raise concerns over fairness and transparency. If crypto markets sustain momentum, the Trump family's net worth may increasingly hinge on blockchain-based assets.

Analyzing current trends in the cryptocurrency market indicates that periods of low volatility in Bitcoin may herald stability, while the involvement of figures like the Trump family suggests potential political influences on the digital asset sector.

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