China and Taiwan face a new round of tensions threatening regional stability. Chinese military exercises showcase an escalating strategy of exerting influence over Taiwan.
China Increases Pressure on Taiwan
On October 14, 2024, Chinese military exercises simulating a blockade of Taiwan marked a new point in the crisis. This fourth major demonstration of force since August 2022 is part of an aggressive intimidation strategy. Beijing also employs destabilization tactics: cutting underwater cables, dredging sand, drone overflights, and ship incursions.
Historical Conflict
Tensions date back to 1949 when the Republic of China’s government retreated to Taiwan after the communist victory. For Beijing, the island is an integral part of the Chinese nation. In 2005, China's anti-secession law officially established the possibility of military intervention if peaceful means of reunification were exhausted.
Encirclement Tactics and International Implications
Rather than direct invasion, Beijing favors a war of attrition strategy, aiming to gradually weaken Taiwan's resistance. Meanwhile, the US, once regional stability guarantors, increasingly focus on internal issues, which affects their support for Taiwan.
Taiwan's future remains suspended, as China's imperial ambitions outline a more dangerous world threatening global stability. The key question is when and how Beijing will choose to act.
