Recent data indicates a growing confidence in the approval of an XRP ETF, driven by improved regulatory conditions and the resolution of legal disputes against Ripple.
Current Odds of ETF Approval
According to information from the Polymarket platform, the odds of the U.S. SEC approving an XRP ETF by the end of 2025 have risen to 79%, up from 65% just weeks ago. This increase reflects growing optimism tied to improved regulatory conditions and a renewed interest in altcoin ETFs.
Impact of Legal Situation on XRP
The optimism surrounding the XRP ETF follows the SEC's dismissal of its lawsuit against Ripple Labs in March 2025, which had long cast a shadow over XRP's regulatory outlook. Attention has now shifted to the potential mainstream adoption of XRP through a regulated ETF.
Future Prospects for XRP ETF
While a spot ETF is still under review, the SEC has approved three XRP futures ETFs from ProShares. The initial launch date was set for April 30, but has been moved to May 14 pending further regulatory approval. Analysts at Standard Chartered project that an XRP ETF could attract up to $8.3 billion in inflows, potentially driving XRP’s price to $8 by 2026.
The growing confidence in XRP ETF approval and the successful resolution of SEC legal disputes represent significant steps forward for XRP and its investors.
