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Critical Observations by Arthur Hayes on Circle's Future and Stablecoins

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 hours ago


Recent comments by Arthur Hayes, co-founder and former CEO of BitMEX, raise important questions about the future of Circle and the stablecoin market.

Critique of Circle's Business Model

Arthur Hayes expressed doubts about Circle's business model being able to compete with Tether. He believes that Circle's success is heavily tied to its partnership with Coinbase, which limits its growth potential. Hayes pointed out that to distribute USDC, Circle must rely on Coinbase’s platform, raising concerns about its independence in the market.

Circle's IPO: Hype or Real Value?

Hayes also expressed skepticism regarding Circle's valuation after its IPO. He feels that the current interest in the company may mask real issues within its business model. 'The price will continue to levitate,' he predicts. While Circle's IPO has garnered attention, he believes its reliance on Coinbase jeopardizes the company's sustainability.

Challenges for New Stablecoin Issuers

Hayes highlighted the increasing difficulties new stablecoin issuers are facing, particularly against existing players like Tether and Circle. He posits that traditional financial institutions and major tech companies will continue solidifying their positions in the market, making it harder for newcomers to enter.

The future of Circle and other stablecoin issuers remains uncertain. Despite the growing interest in the industry, dependence on major platforms and market players poses significant challenges for new issuers.

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