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Crypto Market Awaits Nvidia Report and PCE Data

Aug 26, 2024
  1. Analysts Observe Strange Trends
  2. Volatility Skewed Towards Puts
  3. Impact of Nvidia's Report on the Market

The crypto market is feeling a bit jumpy this week, with everyone keeping a close eye on Nvidia’s earnings report coming out on August 28 and the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data dropping on August 30.

Analysts Observe Strange Trends

After the Jackson Hole event, analysts noticed some unusual movements in the market. They saw aggressive buying of call spreads—a move that usually indicates bullish sentiment. However, there was also significant selling of calls around the 100k strike, stretching all the way out to March 2025.

Volatility Skewed Towards Puts

Even with higher spot prices, the volatility for BTC and ETH is more skewed towards puts than calls until October. This tilt towards puts is odd, given the bullish sentiment circulating in the market. It might indicate that the market was ready for this move up and quickly cashed out by selling calls. Alternatively, it could be big players hedging against potential dips. Front-end volatility is showing some hesitation, suggesting BTC might wobble between the $62,000 to $67,000 range for a bit.

Impact of Nvidia's Report on the Market

If Nvidia posts strong numbers, it might boost confidence across the board, including in crypto. On the flip side, if the numbers disappoint, we might see some ripples—or even waves—across the crypto market. Strong numbers could also mean more rate hikes, which the market isn’t keen to hear right now, but analysts do not expect major surprises here.

The crypto market is in anticipation of key economic data that could significantly impact its dynamics. The outcomes of these reports and their subsequent interpretations may set the tone for the market's further development.

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