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Economic Decisions and Cryptocurrency Futures: What Lies Ahead

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 hours ago


Economic decisions continue to significantly influence the cryptocurrency market, causing volatility and uncertainty.

Fed’s Interest Rate Decision and Expectations

The Federal Open Market Committee is likely to keep interest rates steady, and investors are focusing on Powell’s comments and economic expectations data. Inflation stability is key for the Fed's future actions.

The market’s expectations for interest rate cuts in the later months of 2025 remain unchanged, but the timing remains uncertain. The February CPI report showed inflation dropping from 3.1% to 2.8%, moving closer to the Fed’s 2% target. However, the latest consumer survey from the University of Michigan indicated a five-year inflation expectation of 3.9%, the highest in 30 years.Ali Charts

Potential Scenarios Ahead

Ali Charts suggested that if inflation worries prevail and Powell implies that rates will be kept high longer, cryptocurrencies could experience accelerated declines. Conversely, if Powell indicates easing later this year, markets may respond positively, triggering rallies in Bitcoin and stocks.

While an unexpected interest rate cut today is highly unlikely, it would be a significant shock. If it occurs, investors will likely interpret it as the start of a new monetary expansion cycle, potentially triggering a strong risk rally in financial markets.Ali Charts

Critical Thresholds for the Crypto Market

A genuine upward break will emerge with closures above $86,000. A drop below $80,000, especially losing $77,500, could lead to devastating results and rapid panic selling.

Economic decisions remain crucial for the future of cryptocurrencies. Changes in Fed policies can significantly impact liquidity and market dynamics.

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