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Economist Richard Clarida: Tariff Hikes Raise Inflation Above 3%

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

6 hours ago


Richard Clarida, former Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has raised concerns about rising inflation in the U.S. due to increasing tariffs.

Tariff Increases and Their Consequences

Richard Clarida highlighted that the average effective tariff in the U.S. reached 15.6% as of June 2025, marking the highest level since 1937. This increase could drive inflation above 3%, challenging the Federal Reserve's forecast for rate cuts.

Markets React to Inflation Concerns

Uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve policy could lead to sharp reactions in the markets. Clarida expressed doubt about whether financial markets would trust the new chairman, suggesting potential instability in stock and bond prices.

If the market doubts the new chairman's independence, the stock and bond markets will react sharply.Richard Clarida

Forecasts and Impact on Financial Markets

Economists and investors are discussing that if inflation exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve may reconsider its monetary policies. This could influence financial markets, including digital currencies, amid uncertainties regarding Fed policy.

The rise in tariffs and potential inflation growth present new challenges for the U.S. economy, possibly affecting the Federal Reserve's strategy.

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