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Escalation of Conflict and Hopes for Peace in the Middle East: Impact on Financial Markets

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

6 hours ago


A recent statement by U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential peace negotiations in the Middle East sparked optimism in financial markets.

Impact of Trump's Announcement on Cryptocurrency Market

Following Trump's announcement, the cryptocurrency market reacted with a surge. Bitcoin rose approximately 4% to reach $104,967. Ethereum increased by 6.8%, XRP by 5.8%, and Solana by 7.6%. Experts noted that the de-escalation of tensions in the region boosted investor confidence and positively impacted trading volumes. This activity highlighted the influence of geopolitical uncertainties on cryptocurrency markets.

Prospects for Declining Oil Prices

The hopes for a ceasefire influenced not only cryptocurrencies but also energy markets. Oil prices recorded a decline due to potential increases in supplies and expectations of reduced tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Experts believe that lower energy prices could support global growth expectations and alleviate market stress, creating a general sense of relief in financial circles.

Economic Risks in the U.S.

However, concerns about a recession in the U.S. economy remain high. The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index (LEI) has continuously declined over the past six months and reached its lowest levels in nine years. The index has decreased in 37 out of the last 39 months. Historical data shows that such prolonged declines have preceded every U.S. recession since 1960. Economists indicate that this marker enhances global uncertainties and the possibility of a recession, emphasizing caution regarding short-term market optimism.

Thus, despite the temporary improvement in market conditions following Trump's statements, the economy faces fundamental risks that could limit the sustainability of financial growth.

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