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Ethereum: Is a Break Above $4000 Possible?

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

10 hours ago


The cryptocurrency market is buzzing around Ethereum, which has reached a new seven-month high. This event raises numerous questions about the cryptocurrency's future.

Ethereum's Surge: Causes and Factors

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, recently reached $3745, thanks to a variety of factors. Key among these is the significant withdrawal of over 317,000 ETH (approximately $1.18 billion) from centralized exchanges, often seen as a bullish signal.

* **Reduced Selling Pressure:** Moving assets off exchanges typically indicates a long-term holding intention, reducing market supply and potentially driving prices higher. * **Accumulation Phase:** Large withdrawals often signal institutional or major investors accumulating ETH in anticipation of future value increases. * **Increased Confidence:** The observed activity indicates a high level of confidence in Ethereum's ecosystem and its growth potential.

Decoding the 'Belief-Denial' Phase

Despite the positive signals, analysts like Wise Crypto point to a crucial phase on the NUPL chart: the 'Belief-Denial' zone.

* **What is NUPL?** It's a metric that measures the total profit or loss of coins in circulation based on their last moved price. This metric helps gauge market sentiment. * **Significance of the 'Belief-Denial' Zone:** This phase typically occurs after significant price increases, when many holders have substantial unrealized profits. It signals potential profit-taking acceleration and increased selling pressure.

The Critical $4000 Level: Breakout or Pullback?

$4000 is a significant psychological and technical resistance level for Ethereum. The market's reaction here will impact ETH's near-term outlook.

* **Scenario 1: Clean Breakout Above $4000** If ETH manages to break decisively above this level, it might trigger new bullish momentum, attracting investors and liquidating short positions. * **Scenario 2: Failure to Sustain Above $4000** Conversely, if ETH fails to hold above this level, it could indicate a correction, with critical support levels at $3530 and $3130 to watch.

Ethereum's recent growth signals exciting changes in the market, but the critical $4000 level will present key opportunities and risks. Further advancement likely depends on both internal analyses and external factors.

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