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EUR/USD Analysis and the Impact of Fed's Restrictive Policy

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


Cryptocurrency markets are closely watching traditional finance, with recent movements in the Forex market causing ripples. The EUR/USD pair is experiencing a notable correction, driven by a robust US Dollar resurgence, influenced by the Federal Reserve's restrictive policy stance. Let's delve into this situation and its implications for the financial landscape.

Reasons Behind EUR/USD Correction

After a period of consolidation, the US Dollar is flexing its muscles again, pushing the EUR/USD pair downwards to near the 1.0450 mark. This resurgence is attributed to Federal Reserve officials' statements, including Governor Michelle Bowman and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, emphasizing the need for confidence in inflation reduction before policy shifts. Strong US economic indicators support maintaining current monetary policies.

Euro's Issues and EUR/USD Weakness

Adding to EUR/USD's woes is the uncertainty surrounding the Euro. ECB policymaker Joachim Nagel expressed concerns about potential US tariffs and their impact on Germany's economy. Expectations of ECB rate cuts also cap the Euro's potential upside.

Key Technical Levels for EUR/USD Traders

Currently, the EUR/USD pair is navigating key levels. Support at the 50-day EMA around 1.0430 is crucial for continued bullish potential. The RSI below 60.00, if surpassed, indicates strengthening momentum. Support at 1.0285 and resistance at 1.0630 are significant for the market.

The EUR/USD correction highlights Forex market volatility driven by central bank policies and economic factors. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for traders in risk management and decision-making.

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