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Factors Affecting Bitcoin's Price at Year-End

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by A1

12 hours ago


The Bitcoin market faces challenges amidst sales and liquidity declines as the year-end approaches. Despite these difficulties, interest in cryptocurrency remains strong due to its 24/7 availability.

Unfulfilled Expectations of Christmas Rally

The anticipated year-end Christmas rally in the Bitcoin market disappointed investors. The sale of $49.3 million worth of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox caused the price to plummet to $92,500, a 14% decline from last week’s all-time high. However, the market has shown some recovery, with prices edging back toward the $95,000 mark. As the year-end approaches, decreasing liquidity and the third consecutive day of outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs have further softened market sentiment.

MicroStrategy's Acquisition Strategy Raises Questions

MicroStrategy announced its continued policy of accumulating Bitcoin. The company disclosed that it purchased $561 million worth of Bitcoin at an average price of $106,662. This marks the seventh consecutive week of Bitcoin purchases for the company, although this recent acquisition amount is the lowest seen in recent weeks, prompting questions about MicroStrategy’s willingness to acquire more Bitcoin at current price levels.

Despite the wave of sales, there has not been significant activity in the options market. Short-term volatility rates have remained stable, and the overall market has maintained a calm demeanor.

Bitcoin's Appeal with 24/7 Availability

In traditional markets, shortened hours or closures are common at year-end. However, the Bitcoin market’s availability 24/7 provides a high responsiveness to extraordinary events. For instance, the Bitcoin/KRW pair reflected the market’s reaction to South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol’s declaration of martial law. This situation once again highlights the role of cryptocurrencies in response to political and economic events. Experts warn of a high likelihood of filling price gaps due to the market’s liquidity shortfall.

With declining liquidity and volatile market sentiment, investors should consider potential price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market at the end of the year.

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