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Fed: Diverging Opinions on Rate Cuts in July

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 hours ago


At a conference in Prague, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman stated her readiness to support a rate cut at the next meeting in July, provided inflation remains low.

Michelle Bowman's Statement on Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman indicated during a conference in Prague that she is prepared to vote for a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July, should inflation pressures remain contained. She emphasized that the current data offers sufficient room for the Fed to take this step, aligning her viewpoint with that of another Fed governor, Christopher Waller, who also endorsed the possibility of a rate cut.

Should inflation pressures remain contained, I would support lowering the policy rate as soon as our next meeting in order to bring it closer to its neutral setting and to sustain a healthy labor market.CITE_W_A

Diverging Opinions within the Fed

Despite the support for a rate cut from Bowman and Waller, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continues to advocate for holding rates steady until September. Current trader expectations indicate a mere 23% chance of a rate cut in July. Furthermore, the Fed's dot plot reveals significant variation among members regarding future rate changes, showcasing the internal divide on monetary policy.

Impact of Trump's Trade Policies on the Economy

Bowman also commented on Trump’s trade policies, mentioning that the impact of tariffs on inflation might be more prolonged and less pronounced than initially expected. This aligns with Trump’s recent openness to negotiations with trade partners, which could ease pressure on the Fed regarding rate cuts.

In a complex economic landscape, the differing opinions among Fed members illustrate the challenging balance they face in navigating monetary policy.

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