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Fed Predicts Inflation Increase and Economic Slowdown

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

7 days ago


Bitcoin is currently priced at $82,000 amid significant statements from a Fed member, signaling potential market volatility.

Fed Updates

Fed member Williams has become the first to directly address tariffs in his statements. Current Producer Price Index data has shown a notable decline in investor sentiment. Furthermore, Michigan inflation expectations have surged from 5% to 6.7%.

Williams' Commentary

Williams emphasized that inflation will rise significantly, and tariffs will greatly disrupt annual growth. He noted:

"Tariffs will increase inflation this year by between 3.5% and 4%. The economy is surrounded by a high level of uncertainty. Tariffs and trade are core factors contributing to this uncertainty. A moderately restrictive monetary policy is entirely appropriate. Fed policy is well-positioned for the upcoming period. I remain resolute in returning inflation to 2%. Long-term inflation expectations have stabilized, and we must maintain this. I expect growth to slow significantly this year, dropping to 1%. The economy faces an unusually broad range of outcomes. It started the year on solid foundations. I anticipate the unemployment rate will rise to between 4.5% and 5% this year. The key question is whether high inflation will persist until 2026."

Market Reaction

Despite these insights, market expectations for interest rate cuts have weakened. Reports suggest a forthcoming meeting between the President of China and Trump. If they fail to reach a compromise, ongoing uncertainty could lead to a scenario where recession pricing is overshadowed by fears of depression.

Amid current Fed statements, high volatility is observed in the cryptocurrency market, highlighting the importance of analyzing economic data and its impact on investors.

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