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How the U.S. Debt Ceiling Affects Bitcoin and Market Liquidity

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

5 months ago


The U.S. has reached its $36 trillion debt ceiling, posing significant effects on the global economy, including the cryptocurrency market.

Debt Ceiling: A New Development

The U.S. government has reached its $36 trillion debt ceiling, exhausting its borrowing limit. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen noted this prohibits new spending while posing risks to meeting existing obligations. Extraordinary measures are planned to be implemented until mid-March.

Impact of TGA Spending on Markets

If the Treasury reaches its debt ceiling, the General Treasury Account (TGA) may come into play to finance government operations. Spending from this account increases liquidity, strengthening the reserves of commercial banks. Enhanced reserves boost banks’ lending capacity and stimulate investment in financial markets, especially benefiting risky assets. Historical data indicate a negative correlation between TGA declines and Bitcoin’s rise. Currently, the TGA balance stands at $677 billion.

Inverse Relationship Between Bitcoin and Liquidity

Enhanced liquidity from TGA spending can create opportunities for various assets, including Bitcoin and strong altcoins. Greater liquidity may facilitate a shift of investors towards the cryptocurrency market. Historically, discussions on the debt ceiling and TGA usage have positively influenced risky assets like Bitcoin. However, the continuation of this trend remains uncertain.

The U.S. debt ceiling discussions are critical for both traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency landscape. Investors closely monitor the government’s actions and their potential effects on the markets.

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