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Impact of Oil Prices on Bitcoin Amid Geopolitical Instability

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

15 hours ago


In the face of global instability, Bitcoin often shows volatility, especially when world oil prices rise sharply. Investors tend to favor less risky assets, leading to a decline in cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin in Times of Geopolitical Crises

Historically, Bitcoin faces challenges in maintaining its price amidst geopolitical stress. As oil prices rise, investors often retreat to safer assets like U.S. Treasury bills, leaving riskier options like Bitcoin vulnerable to sharp declines.

Short-Term Losses and Long-Term Gains

Recent market action has reinforced this pattern. Last Friday, WTI oil prices surged by 19%, while during the same period Bitcoin fell from $110,200 to $102,800. These oil-induced corrections are often short-lived and may present strategic buying opportunities.

Historical Example Analysis

Despite the challenges, Bitcoin has shown significant recovery movements in the past. For instance, after a sudden rise in oil prices in January 2025 due to sanctions on Russia, Bitcoin surged by 22% within a week. Similar recovery trends have been observed in other instances, leaving hope for future upward movements in cryptocurrency prices.

Thus, although Bitcoin may face pressure at the onset of geopolitical conflicts, its historical pattern shows that sharp sell-offs are often followed by strong rebounds. These patterns could provide opportunities for traders monitoring the market.

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