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Kathryn Rooney Vera Predicts Fed Rate Cuts in the Second Half

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 months ago


Kathryn Rooney Vera, Chief Market Strategist at StoneX, appeared on CNBC to share her views on the Fed's policy outlook and economic trends.

Fed Policy Outlook

Vera suggested that the Fed might implement two rate cuts this year, but not until the second half. She also noted that markets are awaiting tomorrow's employment report, expressing cautious optimism about the U.S. economy.

Stock markets are closed today for the funeral of former President Carter, but investors are awaiting tomorrow’s employment report.Kathryn Rooney Vera

Economic Growth and Inflation

On the topic of inflation, Vera said that continued economic growth above potential could further increase inflation. Without reducing government spending, inflationary risks may rise. The U.S. economy, which grew by 1.8% last year, is expected to maintain growth through 2025, but this could fuel inflation.

If the State Productivity Department is not successful in reducing spending, then I would be more concerned about inflation.Kathryn Rooney Vera

Global Investment Trends

Touching on global investment trends, Vera noted that global private investment is approaching record levels, which is a positive signal for economic growth. However, structurally high inflation could continue to be a problem in the medium term.

Kathryn Rooney Vera emphasized the importance of being prepared for alternative scenarios, despite the expectation of Fed rate cuts. Global investments show positive dynamics, yet inflation remains a key risk factor.

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