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Large-scale Bitcoin options expiry raises market volatility concerns

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

19 days ago


Today, June 14, 2025, Bitcoin options are expiring on major platforms, which is expected to lead to increased market volatility.

Significance of Today's Expiry

On various platforms including Deribit, CME, OKX, Binance, and Bybit, options worth approximately $3 billion are expiring today. This event is particularly significant due to its scale, which may impact Bitcoin price dynamics and overall market conditions.

Financial Implications and Market Expectations

The expiring options include nearly 28,000 Bitcoin contracts and $678 million in Ethereum contracts. Analysts note that the put-to-call ratio shows slight bullish sentiment for Bitcoin but points to bearish signals for Ethereum. Open interest levels on Deribit have reached historic highs, creating risks of sudden price fluctuations.

Volatility Analysis and Forecasts

Market reactions are expected to be associated with sharp price movements around key levels, particularly at the 'max pain' points. Historical trends indicate that prices often 'pin' to these levels. Market participants expect potential price fluctuations in the range of $104K to $107K for Bitcoin and $3,600 for Ethereum. While no new regulatory statements or executive comments have been released, stakeholders remain attentive to potential corrections and volatility spikes.

Today's expiry of Bitcoin options serves as a potential catalyst for financial shifts in the market as participants prepare for potential price fluctuations.

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