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Low BTC Sell-Side Risk Ratio: A Path to Accumulation

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 hours ago


Bitcoin's Sell-Side Risk Ratio has reached historically low values, indicating a potential local bottom and accumulation phase.

Historical Context and Low Risks

According to analyst Ali Martinez, the Sell-Side Risk Ratio is a key metric that examines long-term Bitcoin holders' behavior. It assesses the relative profitability of selling BTC against the historical average. Low values indicate reduced selling pressure, whereas high values suggest increased pressure. As per Glassnode's data, this ratio now stands at one of its lowest levels in recent years.

Bitcoin Accumulation Phase

Historical data demonstrates that low Sell-Side Risk Ratio values have correlated with local bottoms and accumulation phases, where long-term investors are less inclined to sell. These periods have often preceded significant price rallies. For example, similar patterns were observed in November 2023, September 2024, and February 2025, followed by market upturns.

Future of BTC Amid Current Data

The current low Sell-Side Risk Ratio reflects a low sell-side pressure environment, indicating an accumulation sentiment in the market. If this trend continues, Bitcoin could enter a prolonged accumulation phase with resulting price stability and potential appreciation. The observed decrease in selling pressure could signal market confidence, setting the stage for future growth.

The low Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio provides crucial insight into the market. The indicator of reduced selling pressure and increased accumulation suggests Bitcoin may be nearing a local bottom.

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