Mike Wilson, head of U.S. equity strategy at Morgan Stanley, predicts a modest retreat in U.S. stock markets for Q3. This is linked to the effects of trade tariffs.
What Are the Tariff Implications?
Wilson points out that trade tariffs may lead to increased costs of goods sold, potentially resulting in a correction ranging from 5% to 7%. Although these repercussions could be more significant for some companies, the strategist believes the effects will be temporary. He remains optimistic about earnings growth prospects heading into 2026.
Is a New Bull Market Emerging?
Wilson believes the anticipated downturn will be brief, suggesting that the ongoing upswing marks the beginning of a bull market. While acknowledging the possibility of unexpected events causing deeper corrections, current data does not indicate a decline beyond 10%.
How Should Investors Prepare for Pullbacks?
Strategist Wilson suggests that potential price dips in Q3 could serve as opportunities for long-term investors. Even though the current market trajectory is positive, short-term risks might temporarily impact prices. Financial experts advise that market corrections should be viewed as expected occurrences. They recommend investors remain calm and focused on long-term trends, which still predict growth.
Despite temporary disturbances from tariffs and broader economic conditions, the long-term outlook for U.S. stocks remains optimistic, suggesting a stable environment for investors looking ahead.