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MVRV Analysis: Bitcoin's Growth Potential in This Cycle

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 hours ago


The MVRV indicator, assessing Bitcoin's overvaluation or undervaluation, points to possible continued price growth in this cycle, according to crypto analyst Chapo.

Rising MVRV and Its Significance

The Market-Value-to-Realized-Value (MVRV) indicator for Bitcoin is at 1.95, suggesting that the cryptocurrency still has room for growth. According to Chapo, MVRV could reach 3.2, forecasting another bullish year before the cycle peak.

I predict a peak MVRV this cycle around 3.2, meaning we have another bullish year in 2025 ahead before we reach the pico top this cycle.

Historical Examples and Forecasts

In April 2021, when MVRV reached 3.2, Bitcoin was valued at $58,253, representing a 101% gain from the 2021 starting price. Similarly, in January 2025, the MVRV reached 2.44 as Bitcoin rose to an all-time high of $109,000.

If history tells us anything, it’s that MVRV will spike vertically during a market top.

Analysts' Opinions and MVRV Future

Julio Moreno from CryptoQuant notes that despite the current MVRV signal, Bitcoin might see further decline before resuming upward momentum. The MVRV indicator remains below the 365-day moving average, indicating a possible correction.

Analysts continue to watch the MVRV level, which remains an important indicator of cryptocurrency overvaluation. Despite a prolonged correction, there's speculation that Bitcoin may recover growth in the current cycle.

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