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Observations on Bitcoin Cycle Top Timing

by A1

3 months ago


The recent trajectory of Bitcoin's price shows signs of recovery following a dip, with notable support from the German government and significant Bitcoin ETF inflows. Amid this upward trend, analysts are discussing the potential timing of Bitcoin's cycle top. One experienced analyst has shared insights suggesting that the cycle top may materialize in October 2025 based on Bitcoin's power law support. According to the analyst, if Bitcoin aligns five years ahead of the power law support on October 1, 2025, it could reach a value of $255,000. This projection is derived from observing previous cycle timings and analyzing Bitcoin price fractals. The analyst points out that Bitcoin's 4-year price cycles, linked to the Bitcoin Halving events, hint at the next cycle top occurring in late 2025. While acknowledging Bitcoin's historic tendency to outpace its power law support, the analyst notes the potential for a different outcome this time due to the 2021 double peak and 2024 acceleration. Despite these factors, the overall patterns have largely remained consistent.

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