PEPE, initially known as a meme coin, is currently experiencing turbulent times. After a surge in late 2024, the token has been on a persistent downtrend during Q1 2025. This analysis focuses on chart data and overall sentiment to illuminate PEPE’s short-term outlook.
Chart Analysis: PEPE Trends
The Heikin Ashi chart for PEPE/USD indicates prevailing bearish sentiment. Since its peak in late 2024, the price has followed a downward trajectory, forming a pattern of lower highs and lows. Recent candles show shrinking body sizes and long upper wicks, suggesting indecision and fading bullish momentum. On the day of the analysis, PEPE is trading around $0.00000758, a 6.25% decrease. The price hovers near the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating consolidation before a potential jump.
Signals from Moving Averages
PEPE’s chart includes the Moving Average Ribbon: 20 SMA (yellow), 50 SMA (orange), 100 SMA (darker orange), and 200 SMA (red). All short-term SMAs slope downward and are stacked below the 200 SMA, confirming a deep bearish territory with no signs of an imminent reversal. The resistance levels at the 100 SMA and 200 SMA remain above current prices, and until PEPE reclaims them, bullish recovery hopes are slim.
Insights from the ADL Indicator
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL) reveals the flow of volume between stocks and buyers. Despite minor upticks, the ADL is generally moving sideways or slightly down, indicating a lack of active accumulation of PEPE. The absence of divergence between price and ADL suggests the current downturn is not contradicted by buying volume.
While a crash to zero for PEPE in the next five days is unlikely, the token remains in a vulnerable position. Without support and volume, the downtrend may continue. PEPE holders should monitor the 20 and 50 SMA zones closely for signs of defense or potential breakdown.
