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Polymarket: Accusations of Governance Manipulation and Implications

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


Polymarket, a leading decentralized prediction platform, has come under fire after reports of a major governance attack. A major UMA token holder is accused of manipulating the oracle system.

How the Alleged Manipulation Unfolded

Polymarket relies on UMA's Optimistic Oracle to verify and resolve bets. However, it's alleged that a major UMA token holder spent 5 million UMA tokens to vote for a 'YES' outcome, overturning the majority decision. The financial impact was significant with over $7 million staked in the market. Despite the protests, the market settled in favor of the whale's vote, allowing them to secure profits.

Was There a Trump-Ukraine Deal?

According to Reuters, Trump stated that a deal with Ukraine was expected in March, but there was no official confirmation. Many traders argue that the expectation of a deal does not equal an actual agreement.

This is a big joke. Zelensky just announced they are looking into a bigger deal, which means there was no deal before. Wow, real scam.

Polymarket’s Response to the Controversy

A Polymarket representative addressed the issue on Discord, acknowledging the unexpected outcome but emphasizing it was not a market failure. Polymarket is working with UMA’s oracle team to prevent similar incidents in the future.

We are aware of the situation regarding the Ukrainian Rare Earth Market. This market resolved against the expectations of our users and our clarification.

The controversy surrounding Polymarket raises questions about the trustworthiness of decentralized oracles and the need for governance reform to prevent similar attacks in the future.

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